Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.503619 23.256031 26.254452 29.765613 33.767468 38.190018 43.453020
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.229546 19.741381 23.850810 29.022715 35.370346 42.922721 52.614544
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.453494 17.426112 22.384208 29.045596 37.791659 48.925267 64.241144
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.457473 15.738353 21.413612 29.522536 40.870540 56.274851 78.921802
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.731299 14.124606 20.289107 29.624750 43.505429 63.538290 94.928479
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.626059 13.196200 19.966408 30.808749 47.899851 74.074514 117.715869
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.492430 12.041196 19.132258 31.103839 51.049923 83.372449 140.563050
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.342993 10.673487 17.753699 30.313886 52.361767 90.051114 160.611576
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.484588 9.640913 16.751526 29.976985 54.384110 98.308239 185.157063
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.988509 9.149113 16.588384 31.080579 59.171716 112.352212 223.341583
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.609334 8.805177 16.632823 32.578286 64.992143 129.452617 271.272594
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.137769 8.210651 16.116570 32.911035 68.614423 142.996574 315.046694
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.571859 7.355512 14.990489 31.890157 69.435433 151.328650 350.388991
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.090074 6.593364 13.930496 30.826323 69.993680 159.307223 387.135560
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.753709 6.083927 13.318246 30.640059 72.519608 172.322213 439.441083
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.501658 5.718135 12.959505 30.974338 76.368571 189.355665 506.506449
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.256912 5.328437 12.483210 30.946353 79.354168 204.993821 574.264838
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.111736 5.149586 12.471454 32.073201 85.561733 230.382977 676.353708
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.931249 4.854431 12.129198 32.290772 89.422729 250.427248 768.711691
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.717658 4.440484 11.420900 31.399619 90.040955 261.602418 837.332979
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.553517 4.127966 10.922818 30.995165 91.988245 277.147285 924.654298
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.469803 4.017397 10.945868 32.092265 98.695531 308.791792 1075.736456
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.407677 3.956291 11.095774 33.602624 107.061565 347.806559 1265.165391